For example, the greater Recuperation scenario was thought to increase brand new ratio out of logs within the straight down levels and thus remove overall mediocre seekingarrangement log costs, once the Restricted Amass circumstance is thought to lessen the latest portion of the market leading-amount logs, which and additionally eradicate overall average log prices
I believed low and you can large replacement gurus in the analyses just like the suspicion throughout the replacing gurus contributes to uncertainty inside minimization show getting opportunity and you will things . 4), however, modern-day fuels got greater regional distinction, especially for countries with high commercial opportunity request and you can low population, much like the conclusions out of an early data . For the secluded teams, stamina play with is changing because of several software (the latest Clean Time having Rural and you will Secluded Teams (CERRC) program , the Native Out-of-Diesel Effort , plus in 2018 the CleanBC bundle revealed the mark to attenuate because of the 2030 new diesel practices in-off-grid organizations from the 80%.
Suspicion in the replacement gurus to have timber factors are examined of the playing with high and you may low replacing gurus to possess sawnwood and you will boards. A recent summary of education which have assessed substitution advantages to possess timber , discover the average unit displacement component that is within the diversity off values utilized in this research, however, additional information on displacement products by the commodity method of and you may country might be of use, and more information on end-uses and you may related tool lifetimes (elizabeth.grams. [5, 8]). Information about substitution positives having pulp and report is restricted, so we thought there is certainly no substitution work with, but because of the proportion off C within group (25% so you’re able to 34% away from timber commodities), polishing this type of points possess large affects on the internet GHG protection. Long lasting uncertainties in regards to the real magnitude away from replacing experts, all of our results certainly demonstrate that higher minimization advantages can be done through policies that (1) improve C retention amount of time in collected timber facts of the favouring long-lived more small-resided products also bioenergy, and you can (2) encourage the entry to wood issues to replace emission-extreme information, age.grams. on the building market.
To own coming analyses, it might be good for possess spatial information regarding upcoming neighborhood and you will commercial gas mileage for each fossil fuel
In terms of the economic analyses, similar studies have compared mitigation costs for various mitigation scenarios at the national scale and for specific activities [45, 56, 68]. In this study, we used regionally differentiated economic assumptions by three broad regions (northern interior, southern interior, coastal region) as well as at the timber supply area (TSA) level for the Bioenergy scenarios in order to capture the spatial variation in market price and production cost (Additional file 1: Table S9). The cost and price assumptions associated with the bioenergy scenarios and the substitution effects were TSA-specific depending on residue availability, bioenergy facility type, transportation distance (simple estimates), and fuel mix. We assumed that log prices would be affected if harvest shifted among log grades due to mitigation scenarios. However, no change in market prices of HWP was assumed in any scenario because HWP prices are usually determined by large-scale markets while log markets are relatively regional. Costs related to forest management were affected if harvest activities were altered by mitigation scenarios, for instance, logging costs increased in conservation scenarios because more dispersed cut blocks were needed to keep the same harvest characteristics (e.g., diameters, tree species, etc.). We also assumed a fixed $50/tCO2e carbon price over the entire period for slashburning as a penalty in the baseline to reflect a possible policy change to include slashburning in BC’s existing carbon pricing . Manufacturing costs were also impacted by changes in production efficiency that then depend on the availability of input materials. Additional recovered fiber under Higher Utilization was assumed to be used in HWP following the same proportions as in the baseline, thus a lower manufacturing cost was assumed for pulp and paper production due to higher efficiency, but a higher manufacturing cost for solid wood products because of lower log quality. Similarly, higher manufacturing costs were assumed for all HWP in the conservation scenarios due to lower efficiency. In the LLP scenario, we assumed economy of scales increased manufacturing costs of pulp and paper (+ 2%) and decreased costs for solid wood products (? 2%) .